An early look at electoral math
With all of the attention given to the Democratic Presidential race the past several months, and the stories in the media, one might believe that we are going to see a landslide in this November's election. Remember, however, that the race for the Presidency is not a popularity contest...it is a race to get to 270 electoral votes.
With the strength of Obama and Clinton evident by the outstanding number of citizens voting in Democratic primaries and caucuses, the early focus by the media has been that the sheer numbers alone will give the nominee an insurmountable advantage later this year. But is this really what is going to happen?
Remember that McCain is known for his maverick nature, and that is an appeal to independent voters and moderates from both parties. Even though he had to proclaim his conservatism to hard-core GOPers, he is the nominee now and can make a move back toward the center. It is not a foregone conclusion that he will end up as a sacrificial elephant this year, and in head-to-head polls, he has been holding his own or besting the potential Democratic nominee.
National polls are meaningless this time of year, but it is fun to speculate. Even more so if someone has taken the time to poll voters in all states and show us how the electoral map is starting to take shape. You will see these types of graphics MANY MORE TIMES between now and November, but to start off, let's see what the good people across the USofA are telling SurveyUSA
Not much of a surprise, unless you are like me and believe that it could have been MUCH worse for McCain. While Obama and Clinton continue to go at it, McCain is out there raising money, crafting his message and getting ready for...well, we may not know for several months yet, but whomever it is, they better be ready for another close election because it looks like that is where we are headed.
-RSKnopfJr
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