This election is getting exciting as we move closer to the Iowa Caucus & then onto the New Hampshire Primary. There will be less than a week between them. That doesn't leave a lot of time to recover from a poor showing in Iowa. Are you watching the polls? Do they matter to you? Do you already know who you'll be voting for when the primary gets to you?
On the Democrat side you got Sen. Clinton & Sen. Obama tied for the lead at 29% in Iowa. John Edwards sits solidly in second with 23%. That pretty much sets the stage for a three way race on the Democratic side of things going into the Iowa Caucus. On the Republican side you have Mike Huckabee in the lead with 28% & Mitt Romney just behind with 25%. Rudy Giuliani with 12% & Fred Thompson with 11% are fighting for the third spot. Looks like a two way race in Iowa with an outside chance for a four way. Sen. McCain (4%) & Rep. Paul (5%) don't appear to be a factor in Iowa. Although, McCain's poll numbers are considerably higher in other state polls as well as national polls.
New Hampshire tells a slightly different story. Romney has a solid lead at 34%. Giuliani at 20% & McCain at 13% round out the top three for the Republicans. For the Democrats, Clinton has a solid lead at 36%. Obama at 22% & Edwards at 15% round the top three on the Democratic side in New Hampshire. While the Republican poll numbers vary quite a bit between Iowa & New Hampshire, the Democrat numbers don't change nearly as much. I think that reinforces the idea that the Democratic nominee is a foregone conclusion while the Republican nominee is still very much a mystery.
Do these polls mean diddley squat to you? If they do, you can keep track of them at RealClearPolitics where they report & keep an average of all the polls. How about the Iowa Caucus or the New Hampshire Primary? I'm betting that most of us don't want them to but then again, no one wants to vote for a loser either. Do you vote for who you want to win even though they're most likely going to lose? Or, do you vote for a second or third best candidate in your opinion to avoid a candidate from winning that you really don't want to win? Sadly, instead of voting for the best candidate our elections have come down to voting for the lesser of two evils.
On the Democrat side let's assume you really like Joe Biden or maybe Dennis Kucinich. It isn't likely that they'll win the nomination. Do you vote for them anyway out of principle? Or, do you vote for Clinton or Obama to ensure the other doesn't win the nomination? On the Republican side let's assume you like Ron Paul or Tom Tancredo. While Rep. Paul has raised a lot of money that hasn't translated into poll numbers & he or Tancredo aren't likely to win the Republican nomination. So, do you vote for your candidate anyway? Or, do you vote for Huckabee or McCain just so Romney or Giuliani don't win?
These are the things American voters have to think about. The bad taste of voting for Ross Perot in 1992 still lingers for a lot of folks. Many of us still voted for third party candidates in 2000 only to realize we had no voice in electing our president. Voting for one of the two major candidates; who were the only ones with an actual chance to win the presidency; likely would have averted the controversy that has clouded the minds of voters ever since.
I am a voter in a serious quandary. I believe Duncan Hunter is the best candidate running for president. The problem is that he isn't likely to win the nomination; let alone the presidency. On the Democrat side, Joe Biden is the only candidate who doesn't make me want to scream & throw things at the TV. On the Republican side, once you get past Hunter I just don't know about rest of them. McCain tried to sell us out on immigration & I don't trust Giuliani or Romney. They both seem so fake. The same thing goes for Clinton, Edwards & Obama on the Democrat side.
As a conservative without party affiliation does this mean I should stay home for the primaries & wait to vote in the general election for another third party candidate who has even less of a chance to win the presidency? Michael Bloomberg, Chuck Hagel & Sam Nunn all have considered jumping in as the Unity08 candidate. Of course there's the LibertarianParty or the ConstitutionParty candidates. Maybe an Independent candidate might be in order. If we really wanted to get back to our roots that's what we'd do. Remember, George Washington was an Independent. I know I left out the Green Party, the Prohibition Party & the Socialist Party but seriously, what chance do they really have?
This is a serious task we have before us. Some call it our right. Some call it a privilege. I call it our responsibility. And, not to be taken lightly. I hope I haven't confused anyone or made your choice even harder. My intention is to get you really thinking about your vote. You have just one, so make it count.
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